Delta Sees Near-Term Business Travel Return; $52.50 FVE

 

No-moat rated Delta (DAL) reported considerably improved sequential revenue metrics as the airline benefits from the U.S. economy’s re-opening, but increased fuel costs and network rebuilding expenses, such as maintenance from bringing aircraft out of storage and training, weighed on profitability. We generally think these rebuilding expenses will be one-time expenses in Delta’s cost structure and continue to believe that Delta has permanently improved its cost structure due to pandemic-related restructuring. We are decreasing our fair value estimate for the firm by about 4.5% to $52.50 per share from $55 to account for Morningstar’s assumption of higher corporate taxes in the model and as we increase our near-term assumptions on fuel expense considerably to reflect higher oil spot prices.

Passenger revenues increased 94.3% from the previous quarter as Delta increased available seat miles 20.9%, passenger load factors 53.3% to 68.6%, and…

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